date - 12 july 2008 Macro - dr. mankad Session 10
Due to iran missile test , crude oil has gone up to 110 $. As our oil prices are climbing , our economy will derail. With high inflation , the current government will nt be able to survive. The destability of the governement and the political scene does have the adverse impact on the socilology and economy of the government. The dethroning of Rajiv gandhi government is the live example of that. After Rao , due to economic turmoils and political unstabilities , we are continuously having political uncertanities.
The kind of political uncertanities this will
The nuclear agreement has some valid reasons , why anil kakodkar is endorsing. What is going on at viena is remarkable. USA need as much as india in the agreeemt. Nuclear reactors demand fuel, tough which we have fuel but not enuf. tarapore is obsolete. remem chernobyle , radioactivity can create havo with the health of the people. Countries like norway and japan ..faced the
We cant build new defense nuclear installation. We have to identify the installation of the defense.
Tarapore is already leaking and working at very low capacity. Coz govt. is neither obliging and providing information on tarapore. Thats y maharastra is facing acute enery scrisi. We have not repaired for the growth. we were not ready for the growth.
in India , we found defeciencies of infrastructure. Power def. is rubbing off our development in a very serious way. Economics is a tradeoff. china took major initiative in power. But had major pollution problems due to the power plants. 11 out of 20 cities most polluted ..is in china . beijing ..
Hydel power is a cleaner way. Its requires manmade ..KOENA (MAH.) is a marvel of engineering. River Mulamotha has been put on the escalator. They have raised the river and put it on escalator and generated the man made water fall and put it on the turbine. tremendous amount of tenecity ...but we had to pay the price ...for the geological...distubance. One of the very major reason for earthquakes....we tampered worth the crust of the earth.
Oil and power electricity is getting costlier. Gas fired and nuclear energy ..if u discount the danger ..of nuclear hazard . its a very clean energy. It doesnt affect the environment. It doesnt affect the coomunit in the neighborhood. It happened in USA (pre-mier island) they shut the plant. In the early phase of USA ..they start dumping nucleat waste in a very quiet manneer..in the place called LOVE CANAL in the north america. Essentially old people ..community developed out there...discovered that the radioactivity buried in the ground , affecting their health and creating cancer.
gas is another form , which helps. USA-INDIA nuclear pact , we have decided to build a major pipeline bwn IRan and India. Iran is a major factor in india's foriegn policy. If we are talking abt energy , we are talking abt iran, IRAn is the second largest oil producing nation. Iraq is still not able to market their oil. rebels are destroying pipelines . and oil is not able to reach BASRA. Oil is a product of geopolitivs.
Iran is a bone of contention and a major threat to saudi arabia. USA is very comfortable with shah of iran. Ayatullah khumaini (1979). It became a muslim state. Still Iran is not a modern state. Here is another twist..it is predominantly SHIA . Iraq and saudi arabia --are sunnis. COz Iraq is majority shias and there is an impending danger of unification of iran and iraq. Thats y USA is playing the cards.
USA ..term Iran as rogued state. Our Foreign minister mr. pranab mukherjee ..did a commendable job in the 1-2-3 agreeement. Today there are 5 formally nuclear armed countries in the world. These are avowed nuclear states. They are producing nuclear weapons. Now USA is getting worried abt china. Thats y they are terming INDIA as a balancing factor. I 1998 ,when we had the nuclear testing , The NSG(nuclear supplies group) came out heavily on US. and discontinued the heavy water suppply to us. Arnd 40 countries stopped the supply. Not all memebers of NSG ..can make bomb.
India is saying that our nuclear facilities , u cant get unconditional entry. India says , we have a right to make bombs and can conduct the test. USA asked us to swear away the right to conduct test. Now USA has relented on that.Thats where , ADVANI is hoarse shouting that India will not be able to conduct test.which is not the case. Agreement doesnt says. But we have to define , which all plant are meant for defense purposes and which one the are civil. We have to tell them that MUMBAi and KALPAKKAM are the defense plants. But that will make us ...
One fine morning , ISRAEL secretively demolished the serians nuclear plant. Now what prevents USA to bomb India. Why they cant even allow pakistan to demolish the same ..if we disclose the same.
Once it is passed , we will have guaranted supply. but the major bone of contention is ..When bush and manmohan met , they didnt talk abt IRAN. But in the agreement , we cant deal with iran. then what wud happen to gas supplies. We have cultural ties with Iran. In mumbai , the irani rest. were very famous. some of them are still survive. As i said , USA is nt going to like iran. for them IRAN is a hurdle to exploit oil reserves in the southern russian countries. All these countries like turkmenistan , ..they havn't exploited the oil.As they dont have the acces to the sea. The original plan was to take pipeline to the arabia sea. The war..was the biggest hurdle. Till u have peace, it is not possible to lay the pipelines. These southern states...all these wars that USA is fighting ..for last 20 years ..is the for the oil. So long is IRAN out there , Oil will remain in LIMBO.
What do u think , USA is not aware of where is OSAMA. It is in there vested interest to keep osama alive.
Now USA has recognised we are growing . They want us to develop a level palying field against China.
Due to iran missile test , crude oil has gone up to 110 $. As our oil prices are climbing , our economy will derail. With high inflation , the current government will nt be able to survive. The destability of the governement and the political scene does have the adverse impact on the socilology and economy of the government. The dethroning of Rajiv gandhi government is the live example of that. After Rao , due to economic turmoils and political unstabilities , we are continuously having political uncertanities.
The kind of political uncertanities this will
The nuclear agreement has some valid reasons , why anil kakodkar is endorsing. What is going on at viena is remarkable. USA need as much as india in the agreeemt. Nuclear reactors demand fuel, tough which we have fuel but not enuf. tarapore is obsolete. remem chernobyle , radioactivity can create havo with the health of the people. Countries like norway and japan ..faced the
We cant build new defense nuclear installation. We have to identify the installation of the defense.
Tarapore is already leaking and working at very low capacity. Coz govt. is neither obliging and providing information on tarapore. Thats y maharastra is facing acute enery scrisi. We have not repaired for the growth. we were not ready for the growth.
in India , we found defeciencies of infrastructure. Power def. is rubbing off our development in a very serious way. Economics is a tradeoff. china took major initiative in power. But had major pollution problems due to the power plants. 11 out of 20 cities most polluted ..is in china . beijing ..
Hydel power is a cleaner way. Its requires manmade ..KOENA (MAH.) is a marvel of engineering. River Mulamotha has been put on the escalator. They have raised the river and put it on escalator and generated the man made water fall and put it on the turbine. tremendous amount of tenecity ...but we had to pay the price ...for the geological...distubance. One of the very major reason for earthquakes....we tampered worth the crust of the earth.
Oil and power electricity is getting costlier. Gas fired and nuclear energy ..if u discount the danger ..of nuclear hazard . its a very clean energy. It doesnt affect the environment. It doesnt affect the coomunit in the neighborhood. It happened in USA (pre-mier island) they shut the plant. In the early phase of USA ..they start dumping nucleat waste in a very quiet manneer..in the place called LOVE CANAL in the north america. Essentially old people ..community developed out there...discovered that the radioactivity buried in the ground , affecting their health and creating cancer.
gas is another form , which helps. USA-INDIA nuclear pact , we have decided to build a major pipeline bwn IRan and India. Iran is a major factor in india's foriegn policy. If we are talking abt energy , we are talking abt iran, IRAn is the second largest oil producing nation. Iraq is still not able to market their oil. rebels are destroying pipelines . and oil is not able to reach BASRA. Oil is a product of geopolitivs.
Iran is a bone of contention and a major threat to saudi arabia. USA is very comfortable with shah of iran. Ayatullah khumaini (1979). It became a muslim state. Still Iran is not a modern state. Here is another twist..it is predominantly SHIA . Iraq and saudi arabia --are sunnis. COz Iraq is majority shias and there is an impending danger of unification of iran and iraq. Thats y USA is playing the cards.
USA ..term Iran as rogued state. Our Foreign minister mr. pranab mukherjee ..did a commendable job in the 1-2-3 agreeement. Today there are 5 formally nuclear armed countries in the world. These are avowed nuclear states. They are producing nuclear weapons. Now USA is getting worried abt china. Thats y they are terming INDIA as a balancing factor. I 1998 ,when we had the nuclear testing , The NSG(nuclear supplies group) came out heavily on US. and discontinued the heavy water suppply to us. Arnd 40 countries stopped the supply. Not all memebers of NSG ..can make bomb.
India is saying that our nuclear facilities , u cant get unconditional entry. India says , we have a right to make bombs and can conduct the test. USA asked us to swear away the right to conduct test. Now USA has relented on that.Thats where , ADVANI is hoarse shouting that India will not be able to conduct test.which is not the case. Agreement doesnt says. But we have to define , which all plant are meant for defense purposes and which one the are civil. We have to tell them that MUMBAi and KALPAKKAM are the defense plants. But that will make us ...
One fine morning , ISRAEL secretively demolished the serians nuclear plant. Now what prevents USA to bomb India. Why they cant even allow pakistan to demolish the same ..if we disclose the same.
Once it is passed , we will have guaranted supply. but the major bone of contention is ..When bush and manmohan met , they didnt talk abt IRAN. But in the agreement , we cant deal with iran. then what wud happen to gas supplies. We have cultural ties with Iran. In mumbai , the irani rest. were very famous. some of them are still survive. As i said , USA is nt going to like iran. for them IRAN is a hurdle to exploit oil reserves in the southern russian countries. All these countries like turkmenistan , ..they havn't exploited the oil.As they dont have the acces to the sea. The original plan was to take pipeline to the arabia sea. The war..was the biggest hurdle. Till u have peace, it is not possible to lay the pipelines. These southern states...all these wars that USA is fighting ..for last 20 years ..is the for the oil. So long is IRAN out there , Oil will remain in LIMBO.
What do u think , USA is not aware of where is OSAMA. It is in there vested interest to keep osama alive.
Now USA has recognised we are growing . They want us to develop a level palying field against China.
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